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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Alaska Governor
In the 2014 Alaska Governor race, Sean R. Parnell (D) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
D+2.2
Final polls said
D+1.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Hellenthal & Associates | R+1.0 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Big Village | D+6.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hays Research Group | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 7 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+5.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 8 | Hickman Analytics | R+8.0 | 10.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-295
YouGov2014-10-205
Hellenthal & Associates2014-10-183
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-107
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Alaska Governor race?
Sean R. Parnell (D) won, by about 2.2 points (D+2.2).
When was the 2014 Alaska Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.