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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Alaska Governor
In the 2014 Alaska Governor race, Bill Walker (I) won with 48.1% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+2.2.
Actual result
D+2.2
Final polls said
D+1.0
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Hellenthal & Associates | R+1.0 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 3 | Big Village | D+6.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Hays Research Group | D+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+3.0 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 7 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+5.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 8 | Hickman Analytics | R+8.0 | 10.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-295
YouGov2014-10-205
Hellenthal & Associates2014-10-183
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-107
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Alaska Governor race?
Bill Walker (I) won, with 48.1% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+2.2, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2014 Alaska Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.