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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 2014 Arizona Governor race, Doug Ducey (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.8
Final polls said
R+7.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+10.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Adrian Gray Consulting | R+8.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Tarrance Group | R+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | R+5.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Keating Research | R+2.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+1.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Moore Information Group | D+3.0 | 14.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Polling Company Inc.2014-10-215
YouGov2014-10-202
Tarrance Group2014-10-155
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-157
McLaughlin & Associates2014-10-1311
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arizona Governor race?
Doug Ducey (R) won, by about 11.8 points (R+11.8).
When was the 2014 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.