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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Arizona Governor
In the 2014 Arizona Governor race, Doug Ducey (R) won by about 12 points.
Actual result
R+11.8
Final polls said
R+7.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+10.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Adrian Gray Consulting | R+8.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Polling Company Inc. | R+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | Tarrance Group | R+7.0 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | R+5.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Keating Research | R+2.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 7 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+1.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Moore Information Group | D+3.0 | 14.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The Polling Company Inc.2014-10-215
YouGov2014-10-202
Tarrance Group2014-10-155
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-157
McLaughlin & Associates2014-10-1311
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Arizona Governor race?
Doug Ducey (R) won, by about 11.8 points (R+11.8).
When was the 2014 Arizona Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.