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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Florida Governor
In the 2014 Florida Governor race, Rick Scott (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.1
Final polls said
D+0.1
18 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Øptimus Analytics | R+1.5 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | YouGov | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | University of Florida Bob Graham Center for Public Service | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Big Village | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 7 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | The Tyson Group | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Quinnipiac University | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 10 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 11 | St. Pete Polls | D+1.4 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 12 | Gravis Marketing | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 13 | Cherry Communications | R+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 14 | Saint Leo University Polling Institute | D+3.0 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 15 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 16 | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | D+5.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 17 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
42 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Øptimus Analytics2014-11-010
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
SEA Polling & Strategic Design2014-10-302
Quinnipiac University2014-10-302
Zogby Analytics2014-10-308
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Florida Governor race?
Rick Scott (R) won, by about 1.1 points (R+1.1).
When was the 2014 Florida Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.