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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Florida Governor
In the 2014 Florida Governor race, Rick Scott (R) won by about 1 point.
Actual result
R+1.1
Final polls said
D+0.1
18 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Øptimus Analytics | R+1.5 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 3 | YouGov | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 4 | University of Florida Bob Graham Center for Public Service | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 5 | Rasmussen Reports | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 6 | Big Village | EVEN | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 7 | SEA Polling & Strategic Design | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | The Tyson Group | R+3.0 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Quinnipiac University | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 10 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+1.0 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 11 | St. Pete Polls | D+1.4 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 12 | Gravis Marketing | D+2.0 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 13 | Cherry Communications | R+5.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 14 | Saint Leo University Polling Institute | D+3.0 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 15 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 16 | University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab | D+5.0 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 17 | Zogby Analytics | D+7.0 | 8.1 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
42 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Øptimus Analytics2014-11-010
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
SEA Polling & Strategic Design2014-10-302
Quinnipiac University2014-10-302
Zogby Analytics2014-10-308
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Florida Governor race?
Rick Scott (R) won, by about 1.1 points (R+1.1).
When was the 2014 Florida Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.