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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2014 Maryland Governor race, Larry Hogan (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.8
Final polls said
D+2.8
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+5.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+2.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | D+3.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 4 | OpinionWorks | D+7.0 | 10.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement | D+9.0 | 12.8 | ✗ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 16.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
WPA Intelligence2014-10-261
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2014-10-226
YouGov2014-10-2017
WPA Intelligence2014-10-195
Gravis Marketing2014-10-087
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Maryland Governor race?
Larry Hogan (R) won, by about 3.8 points (R+3.8).
When was the 2014 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.