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Toss-up · 2014 Governor
Maryland Governor
In the 2014 Maryland Governor race, Larry Hogan (R) won by about 4 points.
Actual result
R+3.8
Final polls said
D+2.8
4 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WPA Intelligence | R+5.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc. | D+2.0 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | D+3.0 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 4 | OpinionWorks | D+7.0 | 10.8 | ✗ |
| 5 | The Washington Post/University of Maryland Center for Democracy and Civic Engagement | D+9.0 | 12.8 | ✗ |
| 6 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 16.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
WPA Intelligence2014-10-261
Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies Inc.2014-10-226
YouGov2014-10-2017
WPA Intelligence2014-10-195
Gravis Marketing2014-10-087
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Maryland Governor race?
Larry Hogan (R) won, by about 3.8 points (R+3.8).
When was the 2014 Maryland Governor election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.