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Toss-up · 2014 House
Massachusetts House
In the 2014 Massachusetts House race, Seth Moulton (D) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
D+13.8
Final polls said
D+2.1
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Normington, Petts & Associates | D+12.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group | D+11.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | MassINC Polling Group | D+8.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+8.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Tarrance Group | R+1.0 | 14.8 | ✗ |
| 6 | Øptimus Analytics | R+1.8 | 15.6 | ✗ |
| 7 | Emerson College | R+2.0 | 15.8 | ✗ |
| 8 | Voter/Consumer Research | R+2.0 | 15.8 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2014-10-2816
Øptimus Analytics2014-10-2416
Øptimus Analytics2014-10-1813
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group2014-10-163
Emerson College2014-10-1317
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Massachusetts House race?
Seth Moulton (D) won, by about 13.8 points (D+13.8).
When was the 2014 Massachusetts House election held?
It was held in November 2014.