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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Colorado Senate
In the 2014 Colorado Senate race, Cory Gardner (R) won by about 2 points.
Actual result
R+1.9
Final polls said
R+2.1
20 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quinnipiac University | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | R+2.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Marist College | R+1.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+1.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Public Policy Polling | R+3.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Vox Populi Polling | R+3.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 8 | YouGov | R+0.8 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | GQR | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 10 | Big Village | R+4.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 11 | Keating Research | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 12 | Strategies 360 | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 13 | Harstad Strategic Research | D+1.0 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 14 | Gravis Marketing | R+5.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 15 | Mellman Group | D+2.0 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 16 | Rasmussen Reports | R+6.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 17 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+6.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 18 | ccAdvertising | R+6.0 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 19 | Benenson Strategy Group | D+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 20 | Suffolk University | R+7.4 | 5.5 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
35 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
Quinnipiac University2014-10-300
YouGov2014-10-281
SurveyUSA2014-10-280
Public Policy Polling2014-10-282
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Colorado Senate race?
Cory Gardner (R) won, by about 1.9 points (R+1.9).
When was the 2014 Colorado Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.