Actual result
R+7.7
Final polls said
R+1.6
19 late polls · ✓
Model predicted
R+1.8
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+8.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Vox Populi Polling | R+5.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | GQR | R+5.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Landmark Communications | R+4.2 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | R+4.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | InsiderAdvantage | R+3.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyUSA | R+3.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | Abt Associates | R+2.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 9 | Hickman Analytics | R+2.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | VotePredictor | R+1.8 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | YouGov | R+1.5 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 12 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 13 | Rasmussen Reports | EVEN | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 14 | GaPundit.com | D+1.0 | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 15 | Big Village | D+3.0 | 10.7 | ✗ |
Polls (35)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landmark Communications | 2014-11-02 | 1500 | R+4.2 | 3 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2014-11-02 | 975 | R+1.0 | 7 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2014-11-01 | 1463 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-11-01 | 591 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2014-10-31 | 533 | EVEN | 8 |
| Marist College | 2014-10-29 | 603 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Landmark Communications | 2014-10-29 | 1500 | R+0.8 | 7 |
| Vox Populi Polling | 2014-10-28 | 602 | R+5.0 | 3 |
| YouGov | 2014-10-28 | 1743 | R+1.5 | 6 |
| Monmouth University Polling Institute | 2014-10-27 | 436 | R+8.0 | 0 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2014-10-26 | 977 | EVEN | 8 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-10-26 | 611 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2014-10-23 | 771 | EVEN | 8 |
| Big Village | 2014-10-21 | 565 | D+3.0 | 11 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2014-10-21 | 704 | D+2.4 | 10 |
| Landmark Communications | 2014-10-20 | 1000 | D+0.1 | 8 |
| Abt Associates | 2014-10-20 | 1170 | R+2.0 | 6 |
| YouGov | 2014-10-20 | 1774 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-10-19 | 606 | D+2.0 | 10 |
| GaPundit.com | 2014-10-13 | 1543 | D+1.0 | 9 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-10-12 | 563 | D+3.0 | 11 |
| Landmark Communications | 2014-10-08 | 1000 | R+0.3 | 7 |
| Public Policy Polling | 2014-10-04 | 895 | R+2.0 | 6 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-10-04 | 566 | R+1.0 | 7 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2014-09-30 | 947 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| Hickman Analytics | 2014-09-30 | 500 | R+2.0 | 6 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2014-09-30 | 1000 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| GQR | 2014-09-26 | 679 | R+5.0 | 3 |
| YouGov | 2014-09-26 | 1851 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-09-21 | 550 | R+1.0 | 7 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2014-09-15 | 750 | R+5.0 | 3 |
| Landmark Communications | 2014-09-10 | 1109 | D+2.6 | 10 |
| InsiderAdvantage | 2014-09-10 | 1167 | R+10.3 | 3 |
| Abt Associates | 2014-09-10 | 884 | R+4.0 | 4 |
| SurveyUSA | 2014-09-07 | 558 | R+3.0 | 5 |