← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Illinois Senate
In the 2014 Illinois Senate race, Richard J. Durbin (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.8
Final polls said
D+11.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | D+10.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+10.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | McKeon & Associates | D+10.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | We Ask America | D+13.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+13.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | APC Research | D+14.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Rasmussen Reports | D+14.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Illinois Springfield Survey Research Office | D+15.5 | 4.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-011
McKeon & Associates2014-10-281
YouGov2014-10-202
APC Research2014-10-183
We Ask America2014-10-062
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Illinois Senate race?
Richard J. Durbin (D) won, by about 10.8 points (D+10.8).
When was the 2014 Illinois Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.