← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Kansas Senate
In the 2014 Kansas Senate race, Pat Roberts (R) won with 53.1% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+10.6.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
R+0.6
10 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remington Research Group | D+2.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+1.3 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Big Village | D+1.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | EVEN | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 6 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 7 | Marist College | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
| 9 | Gravis Marketing | R+2.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
| 10 | Rasmussen Reports | R+5.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
| 11 | Suffolk University | R+5.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
25 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-0212
Public Policy Polling2014-10-3010
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2014-10-2912
YouGov2014-10-289
SurveyUSA2014-10-2413
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Kansas Senate race?
Pat Roberts (R) won, with 53.1% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+10.6, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2014 Kansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.