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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Kansas Senate
In the 2014 Kansas Senate race, Gregory Orman (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
R+0.6
10 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remington Research Group | D+2.0 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+1.3 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Big Village | D+1.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | EVEN | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 5 | Public Policy Polling | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 6 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 7 | Marist College | R+1.0 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | R+2.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
| 9 | Gravis Marketing | R+2.0 | 12.6 | ✗ |
| 10 | Rasmussen Reports | R+5.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
| 11 | Suffolk University | R+5.0 | 15.6 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
25 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-0212
Public Policy Polling2014-10-3010
Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research2014-10-2912
YouGov2014-10-289
SurveyUSA2014-10-2413
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Kansas Senate race?
Gregory Orman (D) won, by about 10.6 points (D+10.6).
When was the 2014 Kansas Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.