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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
Minnesota Senate
In the 2014 Minnesota Senate race, Al Franken (D) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
D+10.2
Final polls said
D+11.3
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+10.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+11.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+9.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | D+8.0 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Public Opinion Strategies | D+7.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyUSA2014-10-291
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2014-10-211
YouGov2014-10-200
SurveyUSA2014-10-155
Public Opinion Strategies2014-10-063
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 Minnesota Senate race?
Al Franken (D) won, by about 10.2 points (D+10.2).
When was the 2014 Minnesota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.