← all past elections
Toss-up · 2014 Senate
New Hampshire Senate
In the 2014 New Hampshire Senate race, Jeanne Shaheen (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+3.2
Final polls said
D+2.0
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion | D+3.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Suffolk University | D+3.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Public Policy Polling | D+2.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | University of New Hampshire Survey Center | D+2.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Big Village | D+2.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+2.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | YouGov | D+5.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 8 | Kiley & Company | D+6.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 9 | American Research Group | EVEN | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 10 | New England College Polling Center | R+0.5 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 11 | Rasmussen Reports | D+7.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 12 | Global Strategy Group | D+7.0 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 13 | Magellan Strategies | R+1.6 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 14 | Vox Populi Polling | R+4.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
35 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2014-11-021
University of New Hampshire Survey Center2014-10-311
New England College Polling Center2014-10-314
Public Policy Polling2014-10-301
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-294
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 New Hampshire Senate race?
Jeanne Shaheen (D) won, by about 3.2 points (D+3.2).
When was the 2014 New Hampshire Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.