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Toss-up · 2014 Senate
South Dakota Senate
In the 2014 South Dakota Senate race, M. Michael Rounds (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+20.9
Final polls said
R+14.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ccAdvertising | R+22.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Opinion Strategies | R+24.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+14.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | R+14.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 5 | Marist College | R+14.0 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 6 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+13.7 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | YouGov | R+13.0 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 8 | SurveyUSA | R+11.0 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 9 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+9.0 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 10 | Public Policy Polling | R+7.0 | 13.9 | ✓ |
| 11 | Harper Polling | R+4.0 | 16.9 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
14 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2014-10-267
Rasmussen Reports2014-10-247
SurveyUSA2014-10-2310
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2014-10-2212
Marist College2014-10-217
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2014 South Dakota Senate race?
M. Michael Rounds (R) won, by about 20.9 points (R+20.9).
When was the 2014 South Dakota Senate election held?
It was held in November 2014.