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Toss-up · 2015 Governor
Kentucky Governor
In the 2015 Kentucky Governor race, Matthew G. Bevin (R) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
R+8.7
Final polls said
D+3.3
3 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vox Populi Polling | EVEN | 8.7 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 10.7 | ✗ |
| 3 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates | D+3.0 | 11.7 | ✗ |
| 4 | SurveyUSA | D+5.0 | 13.7 | ✗ |
| 5 | Western Kentucky University Social Science Research Center | D+5.0 | 13.7 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Vox Populi Polling2015-10-269
SurveyUSA2015-10-2514
Western Kentucky University Social Science Research Center2015-10-2214
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates2015-10-1412
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2015-10-0711
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2015 Kentucky Governor race?
Matthew G. Bevin (R) won, by about 8.7 points (R+8.7).
When was the 2015 Kentucky Governor election held?
It was held in November 2015.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.