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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
Indiana Governor
In the 2016 Indiana Governor race, Eric Joseph Holcomb (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.0
Final polls said
D+2.8
6 late polls · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Opinion Strategies | EVEN | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | D+2.0 | 8.0 | ✗ |
| 3 | Gravis Marketing | D+4.0 | 9.9 | ✗ |
| 4 | Ball State University Bowen Center for Public Affairs | D+5.0 | 10.9 | ✗ |
| 5 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | D+6.0 | 11.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-048
Public Opinion Strategies2016-11-026
Gravis Marketing2016-10-3110
Monmouth University Polling Institute2016-10-2912
SurveyMonkey2016-10-287
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Indiana Governor race?
Eric Joseph Holcomb (R) won, by about 6.0 points (R+6.0).
When was the 2016 Indiana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.