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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
Oregon Governor
In the 2016 Oregon Governor race, Kate Brown (D) won by about 7 points.
Actual result
D+7.2
Final polls said
D+9.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DHM Research | D+9.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyUSA | D+4.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Clout Research | D+11.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 4 | Riley Research Associates | D+14.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | D+15.0 | 7.8 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-048
Clout Research2016-11-034
SurveyMonkey2016-10-285
DHM Research2016-10-272
Clout Research2016-10-205
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Oregon Governor race?
Kate Brown (D) won, by about 7.2 points (D+7.2).
When was the 2016 Oregon Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.