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Toss-up · 2016 Governor
Washington Governor
In the 2016 Washington Governor race, Jay Robert Inslee (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+8.8
Final polls said
D+10.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leger | D+9.0 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Strategies 360 | D+10.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyUSA | D+7.0 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | D+6.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Elway Research | D+12.0 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyMonkey | D+13.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Leger2016-11-050
SurveyMonkey2016-11-044
SurveyUSA2016-11-012
SurveyMonkey2016-10-284
Elway Research2016-10-213
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Washington Governor race?
Jay Robert Inslee (D) won, by about 8.8 points (D+8.8).
When was the 2016 Washington Governor election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.