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Toss-up · 2016 President
DC President
In the 2016 DC President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 87 points.
Actual result
D+86.8
Final polls said
D+78.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | D+78.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | YouGov | D+73.0 | 13.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-049
SurveyMonkey2016-10-283
YouGov2016-10-2014
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 DC President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 86.8 points (D+86.8).
When was the 2016 DC President election held?
It was held in November 2016.