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Toss-up · 2016 President
Idaho President
In the 2016 Idaho President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
R+31.8
Final polls said
R+21.1
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+29.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+23.2 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+19.5 | 12.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Rasmussen Reports | R+19.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | R+18.0 | 13.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+10.0 | 21.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0414
Ipsos2016-10-309
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2814
Rasmussen Reports2016-10-2313
Emerson College2016-10-223
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Idaho President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 31.8 points (R+31.8).
When was the 2016 Idaho President election held?
It was held in November 2016.