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Toss-up · 2016 President
Kansas President
In the 2016 Kansas President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 21 points.
Actual result
R+20.6
Final polls said
R+15.2
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fort Hays State University Docking Institute of Public Affairs | R+24.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+16.2 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+15.9 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | R+13.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyUSA | R+11.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
11 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-048
Fort Hays State University Docking Institute of Public Affairs2016-11-023
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2810
SurveyUSA2016-10-2810
Ipsos2016-10-274
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Kansas President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 20.6 points (R+20.6).
When was the 2016 Kansas President election held?
It was held in November 2016.