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Toss-up · 2016 President
Kentucky President
In the 2016 Kentucky President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
R+29.8
Final polls said
R+21.3
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cygnal | R+24.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+20.6 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+20.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | R+19.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Western Kentucky University Social Science Research Center | R+17.0 | 12.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
8 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0411
Ipsos2016-10-309
SurveyMonkey2016-10-283
Western Kentucky University Social Science Research Center2016-10-2713
Cygnal2016-10-276
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Kentucky President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 29.8 points (R+29.8).
When was the 2016 Kentucky President election held?
It was held in November 2016.