← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 President
Louisiana President
In the 2016 Louisiana President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 20 points.
Actual result
R+19.6
Final polls said
R+12.5
9 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+20.0 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+15.4 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Southern Media & Opinion Research | R+15.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | SurveyMonkey | R+14.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | University of New Orleans Survey Research Center | R+14.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | YouGov | R+11.4 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 7 | Market Research Insight | R+7.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 8 | JMC Analytics | R+7.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | Lucid | R+3.0 | 16.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-046
SurveyMonkey2016-10-287
Ipsos2016-10-274
Southern Media & Opinion Research2016-10-205
YouGov2016-10-208
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Louisiana President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 19.6 points (R+19.6).
When was the 2016 Louisiana President election held?
It was held in November 2016.