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Toss-up · 2016 President

Massachusetts President

In the 2016 Massachusetts President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 27 points.

Actual result
D+27.2
Final polls said
D+26.5
8 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1SurveyMonkeyD+26.01.2✓
2MassINC Polling GroupD+26.01.2✓
3Western New England University Polling InstituteD+30.02.8✓
4YouGovD+22.74.5✓
5Suffolk UniversityD+32.04.8✓
6IpsosD+17.49.8✓

Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier

#ForecasterWin probBrierCalled
1Cook PoliticalDem 99%0.000✓
2FiveThirtyEightDem 100%0.000✓
3Inside ElectionsDem 99%0.000✓
4New York TimesDem 99%0.000✓
5Princeton Election ConsortiumDem 99%0.000✓
6Sabato's Crystal BallDem 99%0.000✓
7VotePredictor ElectionsDem 100%0.000✓

The polls behind it

14 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-041
Ipsos2016-11-0310
Western New England University Polling Institute2016-10-283
SurveyMonkey2016-10-282
Suffolk University2016-10-255

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2016 Massachusetts President race?

Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 27.2 points (D+27.2).

When was the 2016 Massachusetts President election held?

It was held in November 2016.

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