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Toss-up · 2016 President
Missouri President
In the 2016 Missouri President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 19 points.
Actual result
R+18.6
Final polls said
R+10.5
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clarity Campaign Labs | R+16.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+14.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | BK Strategies | R+14.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Public Policy Polling | R+13.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Remington Research Group | R+13.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 6 | DFM Research | R+9.0 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 7 | Ipsos | R+8.3 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 8 | SurveyMonkey | R+8.0 | 10.6 | ✓ |
| 9 | YouGov | R+7.5 | 11.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | Emerson College | R+6.0 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 11 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+5.0 | 13.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New York Times | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
24 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0411
Emerson College2016-11-0413
Public Policy Polling2016-11-016
Clarity Campaign Labs2016-11-013
Public Policy Polling2016-10-316
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Missouri President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 18.6 points (R+18.6).
When was the 2016 Missouri President election held?
It was held in November 2016.