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Toss-up · 2016 President
Mississippi President
In the 2016 Mississippi President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+17.8
Final polls said
R+9.5
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipsos | R+17.2 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | R+8.0 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+6.0 | 11.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | New York Times | Rep 86% | 0.020 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0410
Ipsos2016-10-301
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2811
YouGov2016-10-2012
Ipsos2016-10-103
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Mississippi President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 17.8 points (R+17.8).
When was the 2016 Mississippi President election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.