← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 President
Nebraska President
In the 2016 Nebraska President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 25 points.
Actual result
R+25.1
Final polls said
R+17.8
4 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+26.4 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+21.6 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | R+17.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | R+12.6 | 12.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Inside Elections | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
7 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-048
Ipsos2016-10-303
SurveyMonkey2016-10-285
YouGov2016-10-2012
Ipsos2016-10-1013
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Nebraska President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 25.1 points (R+25.1).
When was the 2016 Nebraska President election held?
It was held in November 2016.