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Toss-up · 2016 President
New York President
In the 2016 New York President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 22 points.
Actual result
D+22.5
Final polls said
D+20.4
10 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+21.3 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Marist College | D+21.0 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 3 | SurveyMonkey | D+25.0 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Gravis Marketing | D+19.0 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 5 | Ipsos | D+18.5 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | Siena College | D+17.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 7 | McLaughlin & Associates | D+11.0 | 11.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
17 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2016-11-055
SurveyMonkey2016-11-041
Ipsos2016-11-036
Siena College2016-11-037
McLaughlin & Associates2016-10-2813
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 New York President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 22.5 points (D+22.5).
When was the 2016 New York President election held?
It was held in November 2016.