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Toss-up · 2016 President
Oregon President
In the 2016 Oregon President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+11.0
Final polls said
D+9.7
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyUSA | D+10.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Riley Research Associates | D+10.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 3 | Hoffman Research Group | D+12.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | D+9.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | YouGov | D+7.8 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 6 | DHM Research | D+7.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | SurveyMonkey | D+15.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 8 | Gravis Marketing | D+4.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | New York Times | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 94% | 0.004 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
13 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2016-11-057
SurveyMonkey2016-11-044
Ipsos2016-10-301
SurveyMonkey2016-10-284
DHM Research2016-10-274
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Oregon President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 11.0 points (D+11.0).
When was the 2016 Oregon President election held?
It was held in November 2016.