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Toss-up · 2016 President
South Carolina President
In the 2016 South Carolina President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 14 points.
Actual result
R+14.3
Final polls said
R+6.5
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trafalgar Group | R+15.4 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Starboard Communications | R+11.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+11.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | R+5.8 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 5 | Gravis Marketing | R+5.0 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyMonkey | R+4.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 7 | Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research | R+4.0 | 10.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 91% | 0.008 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 7 | New York Times | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2016-11-059
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0410
Starboard Communications2016-10-303
Ipsos2016-10-308
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2812
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 South Carolina President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 14.3 points (R+14.3).
When was the 2016 South Carolina President election held?
It was held in November 2016.