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Toss-up · 2016 President
South Dakota President
In the 2016 South Dakota President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 30 points.
Actual result
R+29.8
Final polls said
R+17.1
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ipsos | R+22.7 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | SurveyMonkey | R+21.0 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 3 | YouGov | R+18.3 | 11.5 | ✓ |
| 4 | Nielson Brothers Polling | R+14.0 | 15.8 | ✓ |
| 5 | Remington Research Group | R+11.0 | 18.8 | ✓ |
| 6 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+7.0 | 22.8 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
9 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-049
Ipsos2016-10-307
SurveyMonkey2016-10-284
Nielson Brothers Polling2016-10-2516
YouGov2016-10-2011
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 South Dakota President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 29.8 points (R+29.8).
When was the 2016 South Dakota President election held?
It was held in November 2016.