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Toss-up · 2016 President
Tennessee President
In the 2016 Tennessee President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 26 points.
Actual result
R+26.0
Final polls said
R+11.8
5 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+14.4 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Ipsos | R+13.4 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Middle Tennessee State University | R+12.0 | 14.0 | ✓ |
| 4 | SSRS | R+11.0 | 15.0 | ✓ |
| 5 | icitizen | R+10.0 | 16.0 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyMonkey | R+8.0 | 18.0 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
10 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0418
Ipsos2016-10-3013
SurveyMonkey2016-10-2813
YouGov2016-10-2012
icitizen2016-10-1616
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Tennessee President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 26.0 points (R+26.0).
When was the 2016 Tennessee President election held?
It was held in November 2016.