← all past elections
Toss-up · 2016 President
Utah President
In the 2016 Utah President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 18 points.
Actual result
R+18.1
Final polls said
R+7.7
16 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | R+17.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Emerson College | R+20.2 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Rasmussen Reports | R+11.0 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 4 | Trafalgar Group | R+10.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 5 | Y2 Analytics | R+9.0 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 6 | Dan Jones & Associates | R+8.0 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 7 | Ipsos | R+6.8 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 8 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+6.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | Gravis Marketing | R+6.0 | 12.1 | ✓ |
| 10 | SurveyMonkey | R+3.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | Inside Elections | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 7 | New York Times | Rep 73% | 0.073 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
22 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-0415
YouGov2016-11-041
Trafalgar Group2016-11-048
Y2 Analytics2016-11-029
Emerson College2016-11-012
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Utah President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 18.1 points (R+18.1).
When was the 2016 Utah President election held?
It was held in November 2016.