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Toss-up · 2016 President
Washington President
In the 2016 Washington President race, Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.7
Final polls said
D+15.0
7 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+15.7 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | Strategies 360 | D+16.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Leger | D+15.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Elway Research | D+17.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SurveyMonkey | D+18.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | SurveyUSA | D+12.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 7 | Ipsos | D+8.2 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 8 | Emerson College | D+5.8 | 9.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
15 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Leger2016-11-051
SurveyMonkey2016-11-042
SurveyUSA2016-11-014
Ipsos2016-10-307
SurveyMonkey2016-10-283
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Washington President race?
Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) won, by about 15.7 points (D+15.7).
When was the 2016 Washington President election held?
It was held in November 2016.