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Toss-up · 2016 President
Wyoming President
In the 2016 Wyoming President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 46 points.
Actual result
R+46.3
Final polls said
R+37.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+39.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | R+38.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | R+35.0 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | R+32.8 | 13.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-047
SurveyMonkey2016-10-286
YouGov2016-10-2014
University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center2016-10-088
DFM Research2016-09-0811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Wyoming President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 46.3 points (R+46.3).
When was the 2016 Wyoming President election held?
It was held in November 2016.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.