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Toss-up · 2016 President
Wyoming President
In the 2016 Wyoming President race, Donald Trump (R) won by about 46 points.
Actual result
R+46.3
Final polls said
R+37.3
3 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SurveyMonkey | R+39.0 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | R+38.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | DFM Research | R+35.0 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | YouGov | R+32.8 | 13.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | New York Times | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Princeton Election Consortium | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
SurveyMonkey2016-11-047
SurveyMonkey2016-10-286
YouGov2016-10-2014
University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center2016-10-088
DFM Research2016-09-0811
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2016 Wyoming President race?
Donald Trump (R) won, by about 46.3 points (R+46.3).
When was the 2016 Wyoming President election held?
It was held in November 2016.