← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Illinois Governor
In the 2018 Illinois Governor race, J.B. Pritzker (D) won by about 16 points.
Actual result
D+15.7
Final polls said
D+16.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victory Research | D+16.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Impact Research | D+16.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 3 | Repass | D+16.9 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 4 | Ipsos | D+20.4 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 5 | Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute | D+22.0 | 6.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 84% | 0.026 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Victory Research2018-11-020
Ipsos2018-10-015
Victory Research2018-09-290
Southern Illinois University Paul Simon Public Policy Institute2018-09-266
Impact Research2018-09-230
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Illinois Governor race?
J.B. Pritzker (D) won, by about 15.7 points (D+15.7).
When was the 2018 Illinois Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.