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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Texas Governor
In the 2018 Texas Governor race, Greg Abbott (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+13.3
Final polls said
R+17.1
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasmussen Reports | R+13.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2 | Quinnipiac University | R+14.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Ipsos | R+15.0 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 4 | Vox Populi Polling | R+10.0 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 5 | SSRS | R+18.0 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 6 | Emerson College | R+8.3 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 7 | YouGov | R+19.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 8 | University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research | R+20.4 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 9 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+22.0 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 10 | Dixie Strategies | R+26.0 | 12.7 | ✓ |
| 11 | The Eppstein Group | R+29.0 | 15.7 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
16 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-10-295
Quinnipiac University2018-10-251
Dixie Strategies2018-10-2513
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research2018-10-217
YouGov2018-10-186
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Texas Governor race?
Greg Abbott (R) won, by about 13.3 points (R+13.3).
When was the 2018 Texas Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.