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Toss-up · 2018 House
Georgia House
In the 2018 Georgia House race, Rob Woodall (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.1
Final polls said
R+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns | R+6.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+27.0 | 26.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 96% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 94% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 85% | 0.023 | ✓ |
| 4 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 78% | 0.050 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns2018-10-156
McLaughlin & Associates2018-10-1327
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Georgia House race?
Rob Woodall (R) won, by about 0.1 points (R+0.1).
When was the 2018 Georgia House election held?
It was held in November 2018.