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Toss-up · 2018 House
Georgia House
In the 2018 Georgia House race, Rob Woodall (R) won by less than a point.
Actual result
R+0.1
Final polls said
R+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns | R+6.0 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | McLaughlin & Associates | R+27.0 | 26.9 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 94% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 85% | 0.023 | ✓ |
| 4 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 78% | 0.050 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
JMC Analytics/Bold Blue Campaigns2018-10-156
McLaughlin & Associates2018-10-1327
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Georgia House race?
Rob Woodall (R) won, by about 0.1 points (R+0.1).
When was the 2018 Georgia House election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.