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Toss-up · 2018 House
Nevada House
In the 2018 Nevada House race, Susie Lee (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.1
Final polls said
D+9.2
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+9.2 | 0.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Dem 88% | 0.015 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 77% | 0.052 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 73% | 0.074 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-11-030
Emerson College2018-10-117
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Nevada House race?
Susie Lee (D) won, by about 9.1 points (D+9.1).
When was the 2018 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.