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Toss-up · 2018 House
Nevada House
In the 2018 Nevada House race, Susie Lee (D) won by about 9 points.
Actual result
D+9.1
Final polls said
D+9.2
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+9.2 | 0.1 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Dem 88% | 0.015 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 77% | 0.051 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 73% | 0.074 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-11-030
Emerson College2018-10-117
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Nevada House race?
Susie Lee (D) won, by about 9.1 points (D+9.1).
When was the 2018 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2018.