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Toss-up · 2018 House
Nevada House
In the 2018 Nevada House race, Steven A. Horsford (D) won by about 8 points.
Actual result
D+8.2
Final polls said
D+3.8
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | D+3.8 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Moore Information Group | R+4.0 | 12.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 89% | 0.012 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Dem 76% | 0.059 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Dem 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 64% | 0.131 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 61% | 0.152 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-11-034
Emerson College2018-10-116
Moore Information Group2018-10-0512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Nevada House race?
Steven A. Horsford (D) won, by about 8.2 points (D+8.2).
When was the 2018 Nevada House election held?
It was held in November 2018.