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Toss-up · 2018 House
New York House
In the 2018 New York House race, Max N. Rose (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+6.4
Final polls said
R+3.3
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+3.3 | 9.8 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 63% | 0.402 | ✗ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 75% | 0.558 | ✗ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
| 5 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 80% | 0.640 | ✗ |
| 6 | The Economist | Rep 86% | 0.740 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
The New York Times/Siena College2018-10-2512
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 New York House race?
Max N. Rose (D) won, by about 6.4 points (D+6.4).
When was the 2018 New York House election held?
It was held in November 2018.