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Toss-up · 2018 House
Washington House
In the 2018 Washington House race, Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) won by about 10 points.
Actual result
R+9.5
Final polls said
R+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FM3 Research | R+3.0 | 6.5 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 82% | 0.032 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 80% | 0.041 | ✓ |
| 3 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Economist | Rep 73% | 0.073 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 69% | 0.095 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
FM3 Research2018-09-187
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Washington House race?
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) won, by about 9.5 points (R+9.5).
When was the 2018 Washington House election held?
It was held in November 2018.