← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 House
West Virginia House
In the 2018 West Virginia House race, Alexander X. Mooney (R) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
R+11.0
Final polls said
R+7.4
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+7.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Economist | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 97% | 0.001 | ✓ |
| 4 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 94% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 5 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 86% | 0.020 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-10-304
Emerson College2018-09-142
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 West Virginia House race?
Alexander X. Mooney (R) won, by about 11.0 points (R+11.0).
When was the 2018 West Virginia House election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.