← all past elections
Toss-up · 2018 House
West Virginia House
In the 2018 West Virginia House race, Carol Miller (R) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
R+12.8
Final polls said
R+6.1
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emerson College | R+7.6 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | The New York Times/Siena College | R+4.6 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+2.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 4 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+4.0 | 16.8 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 90% | 0.011 | ✓ |
| 3 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 76% | 0.057 | ✓ |
| 4 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 5 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 66% | 0.117 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
6 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Emerson College2018-10-305
The New York Times/Siena College2018-10-168
Monmouth University Polling Institute2018-10-1211
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2018-09-1617
Emerson College2018-09-1418
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 West Virginia House race?
Carol Miller (R) won, by about 12.8 points (R+12.8).
When was the 2018 West Virginia House election held?
It was held in November 2018.