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Toss-up · 2018 Senate
Utah Senate
In the 2018 Utah Senate race, Mitt Romney (R) won by about 32 points.
Actual result
R+31.7
Final polls said
R+36.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics | R+36.0 | 4.3 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | Inside Elections | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 92% | 0.006 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics2018-10-064
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Utah Senate race?
Mitt Romney (R) won, by about 31.7 points (R+31.7).
When was the 2018 Utah Senate election held?
It was held in November 2018.