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Toss-up · 2018 Senate
Vermont Senate
In the 2018 Vermont Senate race, Bernard Sanders (I) won with 67.4% of the vote. The Democratic-Republican margin was D+39.9.
Actual result
D+39.9
Final polls said
D+36.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Braun Research | D+41.0 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Gravis Marketing | D+36.0 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Tulchin Research | D+55.0 | 15.1 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Gravis Marketing2018-10-314
Braun Research2018-10-091
Tulchin Research2018-09-2515
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Vermont Senate race?
Bernard Sanders (I) won, with 67.4% of the vote. The two-party Democratic-Republican margin was D+39.9, which is what VotePredictor's model forecasts.
When was the 2018 Vermont Senate election held?
It was held in November 2018.