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Toss-up · 2019 Governor
Louisiana Governor
In the 2019 Louisiana Governor race, John Bel Edwards (D) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
D+2.7
Final polls said
D+1.9
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cygnal | D+2.2 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+2.0 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 3 | Targoz Market Research | D+4.0 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 4 | JMC Analytics | D+0.5 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 5 | Data for Progress | D+0.4 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 6 | Edgewater Research/My People Vote | D+0.3 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 7 | We Ask America | EVEN | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 8 | Trafalgar Group | R+1.2 | 3.9 | ✗ |
| 9 | Spry Strategies | R+4.5 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 10 | Impact Research | D+16.0 | 13.3 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
12 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Trafalgar Group2019-11-144
JMC Analytics2019-11-122
Edgewater Research/My People Vote2019-11-112
Targoz Market Research2019-11-101
Cygnal2019-11-080
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2019 Louisiana Governor race?
John Bel Edwards (D) won, by about 2.7 points (D+2.7).
When was the 2019 Louisiana Governor election held?
It was held in November 2019.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.