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Toss-up · 2019 Governor

Louisiana Governor

In the 2019 Louisiana Governor race, John Bel Edwards (D) won by about 3 points.

Actual result
D+2.7
Final polls said
D+1.9
6 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem

"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1CygnalD+2.20.5✓
2Mason-Dixon Polling & StrategyD+2.00.7✓
3Targoz Market ResearchD+4.01.3✓
4JMC AnalyticsD+0.52.2✓
5Data for ProgressD+0.42.3✓
6Edgewater Research/My People VoteD+0.32.4✓
7We Ask AmericaEVEN2.7✗
8Trafalgar GroupR+1.23.9✗
9Spry StrategiesR+4.57.2✗
10Impact ResearchD+16.013.3✓

The polls behind it

12 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Trafalgar Group2019-11-144
JMC Analytics2019-11-122
Edgewater Research/My People Vote2019-11-112
Targoz Market Research2019-11-101
Cygnal2019-11-080

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2019 Louisiana Governor race?

John Bel Edwards (D) won, by about 2.7 points (D+2.7).

When was the 2019 Louisiana Governor election held?

It was held in November 2019.

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