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Toss-up · 2020 Governor

Missouri Governor

In the 2020 Missouri Governor race, Mike Parson (R) won by about 16 points.

Actual result
R+16.4
Final polls said
R+6.3
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
Winner
Rep

"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).

Final rankings

How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).

Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result

#PollsterFinal callMissCalled
1CygnalR+6.69.8
2Remington Research GroupR+6.010.4
3YouGovR+6.010.4
4Garin-Hart-Yang Research GroupR+2.014.4

The polls behind it

7 polls · newest first
PollsterDateMiss
Remington Research Group2020-10-2810
Cygnal2020-10-1910
Remington Research Group2020-10-148
YouGov2020-09-3010
Remington Research Group2020-09-309

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2020 Missouri Governor race?

Mike Parson (R) won, by about 16.4 points (R+16.4).

When was the 2020 Missouri Governor election held?

It was held in November 2020.

Which party matches you?

These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.

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