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Toss-up · 2020 House
Colorado House
In the 2020 Colorado House race, Lauren Boebert (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.2
Final polls said
D+1.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+1.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 2 | Expedition Strategies | D+2.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Rep 74% | 0.068 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 73% | 0.073 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 66% | 0.119 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 61% | 0.152 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 53% | 0.278 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2020-10-197
Expedition Strategies2020-09-118
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Colorado House race?
Lauren Boebert (R) won, by about 6.2 points (R+6.2).
When was the 2020 Colorado House election held?
It was held in November 2020.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.