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Toss-up · 2020 House
Colorado House
In the 2020 Colorado House race, Lauren Boebert (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.2
Final polls said
D+1.0
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department | D+1.0 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 2 | Expedition Strategies | D+2.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 2 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Rep 74% | 0.068 | ✓ |
| 4 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 73% | 0.073 | ✓ |
| 5 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 62% | 0.145 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 61% | 0.152 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 53% | 0.278 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department2020-10-197
Expedition Strategies2020-09-118
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Colorado House race?
Lauren Boebert (R) won, by about 6.2 points (R+6.2).
When was the 2020 Colorado House election held?
It was held in November 2020.