← all past elections
Toss-up · 2020 House
Florida House
In the 2020 Florida House race, Brian Mast (R) won by about 15 points.
Actual result
R+14.8
Final polls said
R+3.0
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Pete Polls | R+8.0 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2 | Clearview Research | D+2.0 | 16.8 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 93% | 0.005 | ✓ |
| 2 | Cook Political | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 3 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 5 | The Economist | Rep 87% | 0.016 | ✓ |
| 6 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 75% | 0.062 | ✓ |
| 7 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 61% | 0.150 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Clearview Research2020-10-0817
St. Pete Polls2020-09-187
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Florida House race?
Brian Mast (R) won, by about 14.8 points (R+14.8).
When was the 2020 Florida House election held?
It was held in November 2020.