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Toss-up · 2020 House
Iowa House
In the 2020 Iowa House race, Randy Feenstra (R) won by about 24 points.
Actual result
R+24.2
Final polls said
R+3.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | American Viewpoint | R+23.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2 | Change Research | R+5.0 | 19.2 | ✓ |
| 3 | Monmouth University Polling Institute | R+3.0 | 21.2 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | The Economist | Rep 100% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Rep 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 6 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 88% | 0.015 | ✓ |
| 7 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 81% | 0.037 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Monmouth University Polling Institute2020-10-1721
Change Research2020-10-1419
American Viewpoint2020-10-071
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Iowa House race?
Randy Feenstra (R) won, by about 24.2 points (R+24.2).
When was the 2020 Iowa House election held?
It was held in November 2020.