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Toss-up · 2020 House
Minnesota House
In the 2020 Minnesota House race, Jim Hagedorn (R) won by about 3 points.
Actual result
R+3.1
Final polls said
EVEN
1 late poll · ✗
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Rep
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | EVEN | 3.1 | ✗ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JHK Forecasts | Rep 72% | 0.078 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Rep 69% | 0.099 | ✓ |
| 3 | The Economist | Rep 64% | 0.131 | ✓ |
| 4 | FiveThirtyEight | Rep 60% | 0.160 | ✓ |
| 5 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Rep 53% | 0.224 | ✓ |
| 6 | Cook Political | Dem 50% | 0.250 | — |
| 7 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 75% | 0.562 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2020-09-103
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2020 Minnesota House race?
Jim Hagedorn (R) won, by about 3.1 points (R+3.1).
When was the 2020 Minnesota House election held?
It was held in November 2020.